Duna DefAi

Tax Report

QUICK RECOMMENDATION:

  • Action: AVOID
  • Confidence: HIGH
  • Reasons:
    1. Consistent negative 24h price changes across multiple pairs of "American Coin (USA)" indicate a downward trend. For instance, on Raydium (pair HKprCtGbnh1j8xeQ), there is a -4.6% 24h price change.
    2. Extremely low liquidity values in most pairs beyond Raydium and Meteora platforms, such as pair Ct1jtvuemWgTa on Meteora with liquidity of $77.02 USD.
    3. Significant trading imbalances and sell pressure dominance in 24h metrics on key pairs, with some seeing over 50% selling activity—e.g., 30,200 sells vs. 29,137 buys on Raydium’s HKprCtG pair.

DETAILED ANALYSIS:

1. Token Information:

  • Name: American Coin (USA)
  • Chain: Solana
  • DEX: Multiple platforms, including Raydium, Orca, Meteora
  • Current Price: Varies across pairs; e.g., $0.000006813 (Raydium) to $0.000007652 (Meteora)
  • Market Cap: ~$78 million to ~89 million FDV/market cap depending on source.

2. Timeframe Analysis (Raydium HKprCt pair as baseline example):

  • 5m: +2.2% | Volume: $60,150.64 | Buys/Sells: 22/119
  • 1h: +6.26% | Volume: $844,036.84 | Buys/Sells: 698/989
  • 6h: +5.35% | Volume: $9.79M | Buys/Sells: 7,127/7,994
  • 24h: -4.6% | Volume: $35.57M | Buys/Sells: 29,137/30,200

Key Observations:

  • Short-term preferences: Minor positive upticks in 5m-1h metrics reflect speculative traders.
  • Longer-term trend: Declines in 24h price show widespread loss of confidence in the token.

3. Risk Assessment:

  • Price Volatility: HIGH (24h price changes reflecting negative trends of 4%-6% on prominent pairs).
  • Market Cap Risk: LOW (Market caps around ~$78-89M reduce intrinsic collapsibility risk but offer limited growth potential).
  • Trading Pattern Risk: MEDIUM (Sell pressure slightly outweighs buy pressure in multiple datasets; overall instability noted).
  • Project Risk: HIGH (No dedicated project website for users to validate developments. Sole reliance on Twitter & Telegram yields uncertainty about management efforts and team transparency).

4. Trading Metrics:

  • Buy vs Sell Pressure (Raydium HKprCt pair):
    • 24h Buy Ratio: ~49.13% (29,137/(29,137 + 30,200))
    • 6h Buy Ratio: ~47.15% (7,127/(7,127 + 7,994))
    • 1h Buy Ratio: ~41.38% (698/(698 + 989))
  • Volume Analysis (Raydium HKprCt pair):
    • 24h Volume: $35.57M
    • 6h Volume: $9.79M
    • 1h Volume: $844k

Imbalance Symptoms: Persistent sell pressure dominates buy pressure even during spikes in positive hourly gains. This suggests an overextended selling cycle limiting recovery.

5. Critical Risk Factors:

  • Absence of a website: Critical project validation infrastructure is absent, relying solely on Discord, Twitter, and other fluid social channels.
  • Minute liquidity pools on many secondary pairs: Funds locked (as “base” or “quote”) remain alarmingly limited; some pools retain less than $500-$1,000 USD liquidity! (e.g., Meteora's Ct1jtv pool = $77).
  • High trading volatility on most key platforms, compromising any long-term passive holding strategies.

Decisive Risk Filters:

  • Automatic Red Flags Applying:
    • Sub-$1,000 USD *liquidity pools trigger liquidity barriers. While prices “reflect” activity climbing, realistic entry clarity grows increasingly terminal.
Dex