Duna DefAi

Tax Report

QUICK RECOMMENDATION:

  • Action: AVOID
  • Confidence: HIGH
  • Reasons:
    1. Significant 24h price drop of ~14%-17.8% across most pairs indicates heavy bearish momentum.
    2. Despite a high FDV/Market Cap (~$230M+), buy vs sell pressure shows sustained net selling patterns in 24h trends (e.g. 43-48% Buy Ratio) across most pairs.
    3. Liquidity is spread thin across multiple Dex pairs, especially with low volumes and severe sell-side imbalance in key pairs (e.g., Meteora's daily buy/sell ratio = 52/56, Raydium pairs with >6-7% hourly price declines).

DETAILED ANALYSIS:

1. Token Information:

  • Name: Vine Coin
  • Chain: Solana
  • DEX: Multiple (Raydium, Orca, Meteora)
  • Current Price: ~$0.2323-$0.2475 (depends on DEX-pair)
  • Market Cap: ~$230M-$240M

2. Timeframe Analysis (Aggregated Across DEX Pairs):

  • 5m: Price Change: ~0.5%-1.1% | Buys/Sells: Mixed, low volume across most pairs.
  • 1h: Price Change: ~0.76%-1.34% decline | Volume: ~$70k-$1.5M (depending on DEX) | Buy/Sell Ratios: ~43%-56% buys.
  • 6h: Price Change: ~5%-18% drop across pairs | Sell pressure outweighs buys significantly.
  • 24h: Price Change: ~14%-17.8% decline | Volume: ~$50k-$2M+ | Buys/Sells: ~43%-49% Buy Ratios.

3. Risk Assessment:

  • Price Volatility: HIGH

    • Consistent declines in 6h/24h prices across Dex pairs indicate market instability with little evidence of recovery demand.

  • Market Cap Risk: LOW

    • FDV and Market Cap (~$230M+) are healthy, targeting larger-scale ecosystem liquidity reserves.

  • Trading Pattern Risk: HIGH

    • Widespread sell activity and significant hourly price drop-offs suggest limited institutional buying support or manipulation risks.

  • Project Risk: MEDIUM

    • Website presence and active social media accounts add credibility. However, thin per-pair liquidity and poor DEX-to-volume proportionality are long-term sustainability risks.

4. Trading Metrics:

  • Buy vs Sell Pressure:

    • 24h Buy Ratio: ~43%-49% (consistent sell dominance).
    • 6h Buy Ratio: ~40%-50% (similar trends to 24h).
    • 1h Buy Ratio: ~43%-53%.

  • Volume Analysis (Aggregated Across DEX Pairs):

    • 24h Volume: $50M total ($100k-$2M per DEX).
    • 6h Volume: ~20%-40% of total 24h ($200k-$4M fragmented).
    • 1h Volume: Significant linear fall-offs post-declines (~$70k-200K smallest Dex across Ray+Orca).

5. Critical Risk Factors:

  1. Price Downtrends Dominance:

    • Widespread consistent 14% daily declines hurt holding/investment confidence, irrespective of DEX-pair exact spreads.

  2. Liquidity Fragmentation Risks:

    • Major liquidity >74% primarily split Meteora Ratings-"Federated-risk low"", which_poised_msm thresholds."]
Dex