QUICK RECOMMENDATION:
- Action: AVOID
- Confidence: HIGH
- Reasons:
- Significant and unsustainable short-term price surges (e.g., 24h price change of +2926% for some pairs like Raydium's ONDA-SOL pair).
- Low-volume consolidation and massive price volatility across multiple pairs indicate high-risk speculative behavior (e.g., many pairs have trading volumes heavily skewed in short intervals).
- Market cap inconsistencies across pairs, with one pair having a market cap just above $100K, suggesting potential liquidity problems and high manipulation risks.
DETAILED ANALYSIS:
1. Token Information (Raydium ONDA-SOL Pair – Most Active):
- Name: ONDA (ondaxbt)
- Chain: Solana
- DEX: Raydium
- Current Price: $0.01044
- Market Cap: $10,449,060
2. Timeframe Analysis (Raydium ONDA-SOL Pair – Most Active):
- 5m: +1.85% | Volume: $103,420 | Buys/Sells: 149/176
- 1h: -9.99% | Volume: $2,375,529 | Buys/Sells: 2,630/2,348
- 6h: -28.24% | Volume: $70,378,560 | Buys/Sells: 54,206/46,354
- 24h: +2926% | Volume: $149,721,092 | Buys/Sells: 116,744/100,204
3. Risk Assessment:
- Price Volatility: EXTREME
- 24h price change of +2926% classifies this token as highly volatile.
- Market Cap Risk: LOW
- Market cap is $10.4M, reflecting a lower immediate risk of illiquidity.
- Trading Pattern Risk: HIGH
- Imbalanced but extremely high trading volumes (e.g., 116,744 buys vs. 100,204 sells over 24h), pointing to excessive speculative pressure.
- Project Risk: MEDIUM
- Website and socials exist but lack extensive engagement and adoption statistics.
4. Trading Metrics:
- Buy vs Sell Pressure Ratios:
- 24h Buy Ratio: 53.81%
- 6h Buy Ratio: 53.89%
- 1h Buy Ratio: 52.83%
- Volume Analysis:
- 24h Volume: $149,721,092
- 6h Volume: $70,378,560
- 1h Volume: $2,375,529
5. Critical Risk Factors:
- Unsustainable price increases: The largest pair on Raydium ONDA-SOL saw a +2926% price surge, which is likely unsustainable and indicative of speculative dumping.
- Illiquid / low-volume pairs: Several pairs (e.g., Meteora's ONDA-SOL at price $0.009695 and volume of $15,704 over 24h) exhibit negligible liquidity. This suggests that most activity is concentrated in a small subset of pairs.
- Insufficient ecosystem activity for its market cap: Despite a high market cap, there's no clear roadmap, no audited smart contracts, and minimal engagement to justify its valuation.
AUTOMATIC FLAGS:
- 24h price change > 100%: ✅ Several pairs such as ONDA-SOL on Raydium (+2926%) and ONDA-SOL on PumpFun (+1308%) exceed thresholds for concern.
- Market cap < $100,000: ✅ Low-volume PumpFun pair is just above this threshold but lacks proper liquidity ($23340.41 traded in the past 24h). Manipulation is likely.
- Extreme buy/sell imbalance (>70% one side): ❌ No single-sided imbalance, but speculative trading behavior is evident.
- Multiple high-risk factors present: ✅ Elevated risks across numerous metrics, including unsustainable growth, centralized trading volumes, and little real-world adoption so far.
FINAL VERDICT
Given significant 24h price change above 2926%, over-reliance on speculative trading, and surface-level social/project engagement, ONDA is high-risk and unsuitable for new investments at this stage. Opt to AVOID or monitor passively for signs of stabilization.