QUICK RECOMMENDATION:
- Action: AVOID
- Confidence: HIGH
- Reasons:
- Significant 24h price drop across most pairs, with the largest decrease at -20.65% (Pair: BYcjQQ5hgDZ9MZTRfNyBKbLwY3r1QY2fbLp9er8sf25T).
- Highly fragmented liquidity and low trading activity on several pairs. Notably, liquidity as low as $911.54 on the fourth pair and 24h volume below $1,500 on two pairs.
- Sustained sell pressure across all timeframes, evidenced by a cumulative higher number of sell transactions versus buys in 24h metrics across pairs.
DETAILED ANALYSIS:
1. Token Information:
- Name: quarm
- Chain: Solana
- DEX: Raydium, Meteora
- Current Price (Range): $0.001493 – $0.001648
- Market Cap (Range): $1,492,995 – $1,648,650
2. Timeframe Analysis (Aggregated across pairs):
- 5m: Limited activity (only Raydium pair), 3 buys vs 3 sells, $167.02 traded volume.
- 1h: Very low trading activity on most pairs:
- Buys: 64 (Raydium), others 0.
- Sells: 70 (Raydium), others 0.
- Volume: $30,414.37 (Raydium only).
- 6h: Moderate activity, yet more sell pressure than buys:
- 1,447 sells vs 1,437 buys, net sell imbalance.
- Volume: Capped at $871,495.09 on Raydium.
- 24h: Declines visible. Total transactions across all pairs:
- Buys: 3,188
- Sells: 2,840
- Sell pressure lingers across the board.
3. Risk Assessment:
- Price Volatility: HIGH (Most pairs dropped by over 15% in 24h; notable extreme at -20.65%).
- Market Cap Risk: LOW (Market cap well above $1M threshold).
- Trading Pattern Risk: MEDIUM-HIGH (Consistently higher sell ratios).
- Project Risk: LOW (Presence of website quarm.io, documentation, and active social channels on platforms like Twitter and Telegram).
4. Trading Metrics (Raydium as the lead pair):
- Buy vs Sell Pressure:
- 24h Buy Ratio: ~53% (3032/5700 total trades), reasonable balance but leaning toward more sells.
- 6h Buy Ratio: ~52.5% (1,338/2,600 total trades), slight bias toward sells.
- 1h Buy Ratio: ~47.7% (64/134 total trades), clear short-term sell pressure.
- Volume Analysis:
- 24h Volume: ~$1,866,069.77 (Raydium leading).
- 6h Volume: ~$871,495.09 (Raydium leading).
- 1h Volume: ~$30,414.37 (Raydium leading).
5. Critical Risk Factors:
- Price Decline Pressure: The collective 24-hour price performance across pairs indicates a substantial reduction in value (e.g., Raydium -15.71%, Meteora pairs -20.65%, -18.36%). This implies poor momentum and declining sentiment.
- Liquidity Fragmentation: The most liquid pair operates on Raydium with $307,528.92 USD, while other pairs like BYcjQQ5hgDZ9MZTRfNyBKbLwY3r1QY2fbLp9er8sf25T barely maintain $911.54 USD liquidity.
- Volume Concentration: Majority of the activity (~99%) is isolated to the Raydium pair, leaving other pairs highly exposed to illiquidity and price manipulation.
- Sell Pressure in Shorter Periods: Observations in the 6h and 1h timeframes show declining buy interest, reflecting a lack of confidence to retain tokens.
Conclusion:
The project boasts a noteworthy market cap, website, and social presence, which mitigates project-specific risks slightly. However, severe sell pressure, illiquid pairs, fragmented trading volume, and recent price drops mark "quarm" as a high-risk investment at this time. Any further price deterioration or drop in sentiment could exacerbate losses. It is best to AVOID until conditions improve significantly or trade dynamics stabilize.