QUICK RECOMMENDATION:
- Action: AVOID
- Confidence: HIGH
- Reasons:
- Over 800% price increase in 24h on the PumpFun pair, indicating EXTREME volatility and potential pump-and-dump behavior.
- Two of the three listed pairs have low liquidity (one under $200 USD, making trade execution risky), while the total market cap for the primary Raydium and PumpFun pairs is unimpressive at <$500,000 USD.
- Absence of a project website, relying solely on minimalistic social media presence, raises project risk concerns.
DETAILED ANALYSIS:
1. Token Information:
- Name: Trumpcoin
- Chain: Solana
- DEX: Various (Raydium, Meteora, PumpFun)
- Current Price (Primary Pair on Raydium): $0.0002314
- Market Cap (Primary Pair on Raydium): $231,389
2. Timeframe Analysis (Raydium):
- 5m: +12.44% | Volume: $5,995.37 | Buys/Sells: 26/20
- 1h: -8.24% | Volume: $111,137.61 | Buys/Sells: 2521/420
- 6h: -49.84% | Volume: $1,067,901.36 | Buys/Sells: 8845/3155
- 24h: +68.79% | Volume: $1,421,381.62 | Buys/Sells: 10,307/4,115
3. Risk Assessment:
- Price Volatility: EXTREME (>800% on PumpFun, >68% on Raydium in 24h)
- Market Cap Risk: MEDIUM (Raydium pair is just above $231k; PumpFun pair <$100k; overall project lacks meaningful value).
- Trading Pattern Risk: HIGH (Extreme imbalance on PumpFun pair with 10 buys and 0 sells; Raydium pair shows sustained recent sell pressure in 6h: 8,845 buys vs 3,155 sells).
- Project Risk: HIGH (No dedicated website; presence confined to low-effort Twitter and Telegram channels).
4. Trading Metrics:
-
Buy vs Sell Pressure:
- 24h Buy Ratio (Raydium): ~71.44% (10,307 buys / (10,307 buys + 4,115 sells))
- 6h Buy Ratio (Raydium): ~73.73% (8,845 buys / (8,845 buys + 3,155 sells))
- 1h Buy Ratio (Raydium): ~85.72% (2,521 buys / (2,521 buys + 420 sells))
- PumpFun Pair Buy Ratio: 100% (10 buys, 0 sells)
-
Volume Analysis:
- 24h Volume (Raydium): $1,421,381.62
- 6h Volume (Raydium): $1,067,901.36
- 1h Volume (Raydium): $111,137.61
- PumpFun Pair 24h Volume: $18,652.30 (minimal liquidity for trading)
5. Critical Risk Factors:
- Extreme Price Increase: The PumpFun pair has risen by over 800% in the last 24 hours, a strong signal of speculative manipulation or pump-and-dump activity.
- Unclear Project Purpose: Lack of a project website or any credible roadmap or utility raises major concerns regarding legitimacy.
- Low Liquidity: Liquidity on the Meteora and PumpFun pairs is insufficient for executing trades effectively:
- Meteora liquidity: Only $171.07, with just ~$450 in 24h volume.
- PumpFun liquidity: $18,652 in volume but low market cap ($90k) signals instability.
- Trading Imbalances and Sell Pressure: While Raydium shows high activity, recent 6-hour performance indicates stronger sell pressure relative to buys.
- Dependence on Hype: Heavy reliance on social media (Twitter and Telegram) suggests the token is primarily marketed through narratives rather than substantive development.
AUTOMATIC FLAGS:
- Price Spike Over 100%:
- PumpFun pair: +816% in 24h.
- Market Cap Below $100,000:
- PumpFun pair: $90,163.54.
- Extreme Buy/Sell Imbalance:
- PumpFun pair: 100% buy-side with zero sells in 24h.
- No Project Website:
- The token information does not include an official site or documentation.
FINAL VERDICT:
Action: AVOID
- The token displays high indicators of speculative activity, extreme volatility, sell pressures, and lacks proper documentation or utility. With low liquidity and market cap on two pairs and unsupported by a credible roadmap, investing in Trumpcoin at this stage is very high-risk and not advisable.